Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.706305e-05 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069
2025-05-04 2.068532e-05 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000056 0.000069 0.000084
2025-05-11 1.750670e-05 0.000025 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103
2025-05-18 1.422744e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000047 0.000066 0.000088 0.000117
2025-05-25 1.079814e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000065 0.000091 0.000124
2025-06-01 8.483722e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000044 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133
2025-06-08 6.930414e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000043 0.000068 0.000100 0.000144
2025-06-15 5.664837e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000043 0.000069 0.000105 0.000154
2025-06-22 4.489448e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000042 0.000070 0.000108 0.000162
2025-06-29 3.406719e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000069 0.000109 0.000168
2025-07-06 2.476483e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000067 0.000109 0.000171
2025-07-13 1.910411e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000067 0.000112 0.000178
2025-07-20 1.463583e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000036 0.000069 0.000118 0.000191
2025-07-27 1.123515e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000036 0.000071 0.000124 0.000205
2025-08-03 9.880902e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000077 0.000136 0.000226
2025-08-10 7.489235e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000079 0.000142 0.000240
2025-08-17 4.609334e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000143 0.000246
2025-08-24 2.918272e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000078 0.000146 0.000255
2025-08-31 1.945539e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000079 0.000151 0.000267
2025-09-07 1.240532e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000080 0.000155 0.000279
2025-09-14 6.799641e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000080 0.000158 0.000287
2025-09-21 2.904912e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000032 0.000079 0.000159 0.000293
2025-09-28 8.387589e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000030 0.000076 0.000158 0.000296